PROBABILISTIC MODELSOF SEISMIC EFFECTS PREDICTION FOR SEISMIC HAZARD IN ENGINEERING PURPOSESFORECASTING

  • Y. K. Chernov Geophysical institute VSC RAS, Russia, 362002, RNO-Alania, Vladikavkaz, Markov street, 93a
  • A. Y. Chernov Institute of Construction in the North-Caucasian Federal University, Russia, 355029, Stavropol Krai, Stavropol, Kulakov str., 2
Keywords: strongearthquake, seismic hazard, seismic effects, probable seismic impact, ground peak acceleration, spectra, periods, duration

Abstract

Probability models of peak acceleration, spectra and other strong motion parameters based on statistical analysis of large amounts of data on the instrumental registration is proposed. Models can increase the accuracy and reliability of projections at the regional and local level, through better integration of potentially hazardous characteristics of earthquakes and geological environment properties, including local ground conditions.
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Published
2017-07-04
Issue
Vol 7 No 2 (2017): Geology and Geophysics of the South of Russia, 2017 No 2
Section
Articles